The University of Washington IHME Model shows past trends and what the future might look like for COVID-19 deaths and hospital use in each state. In regularly updated forecasts, daily deaths and Covid vaccinations are projected. Updated May 16, 2022.
Estimates are prepared by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), part of UW. The prediction model has evolved over the past 2 years. Boosters and vaccination rate assumptions have been incorporated into the model. Estimated and confirmed infections, mask-wearing assumptions, cell phone mobility data, and easing of restrictions have also been built into the model. The COVID-19 projection model is still subject to change. International estimates are also included in this interactive modeling tool. Deaths per 100,000 population aid in making comparisons among countries.